China Nylon Industry May See in a New Growth
Author: Dec 08, 2011 11:00
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168tex News: According to data of China logistics and purchase association released today, China November PMI dropped by 1.4% to 49%, quarter on quarter. It is the first time that fall below 50% since March 2009, which indicates the fall back of economic growth will be continued. Under the environment that the macro economy stays slack, nylon industry will not be spared. Enterprises universally reflected that the production pressure is greater than ever before. Even so, in the ninth China International CPL& Nylon Conference, the journalist surprised to find the potential of nylon industry, and market players are also optimistic about this.
The conference is still jointly sponsored by China Chemical Fiber Industry Association and China Chemical Fiber Head Office, and undertaken by CCFEI, Britain Tecnon Orbichem Co., Ltd. The conference attracted many delegates of both world famous enterprises and domestic famous enterprises. The number of attendance hit a new high, over 300 people.
China may have already become the net exporter of CPL.
See from the discussion of attendances, the first conclusion the journalist comes is that: the long term chock point of CPL, as a kind of raw material of the Nylon industry, may mitigated step by step in the following years. And after the year of 2015, China may turn from a net importer to a net exporter.
Charles Fryer, direct manager of British Tecnon Orbichem Co., Ltd, who engaged in the nylon industry for decades, is an authoritative source of the global nylon industry. How much longer can the flourishing CPL age sustain. He made a report under this subject, in which, he elaborated the big influence of China newly added CPL capacity to the world CPL industry pattern and its market price. He believes, with the current establishing CPL projects, world CPL production may be over supplied by 2012~2015. And profit of CPL manufacturers will be lowered down undoubtedly. If there is no new CPL projects, the world supply and demand may reach a balance by 2016. As for consumption, because China demand is increasing, CPL consumption in 2010 increased by 12%, comparing with that of 2009. But such a deficit spending scarcely contributes to the consumption growth of 2011. World CPL consumption growth will recover by 2012, and he also forecasted that the long term yearly growth will be around 2.8% on average.
Sinopec representative also demonstrated by data that the world CPL pattern may have a fundamental change. Currently, CPL capacity growth is slow worldwide, and output this year is estimated to be 4280 thousand ton, increasing by 250 thousand ton, year on year, with its operation rate around 87%. In 2006, China CPL output is 360 thousand ton, and it is estimated to reach 580 thousand ton this year. The operation is around 93% this year. In such a situation, importation this year is estimated to reduce to 600 thousand ton. But nearly 53% CPL is still comes from importation. According to statistics, in 2012, there will be 600 thousand ton capacity of the newly invested CPL devices put into production, by then, the total output will reach 1.21 million ton. During the 12th five-year plan, China’s new CPL device is planned to out put over 2.5 million ton. If all the new devices put into operation successfully, China CPL output will reach 4 million ton. You can imagine the influence to the world. China may probably turn from a net importer to a net exporter.
But it is still notable that, for restriction of superior difficult production technology, raw material and also some other factors, CPL domestication process may not be as smooth as we think. As a matter of fact, we still have to rely on import for sometime.
Two kinds of innovation will boost the market demand of nylon.
In the future, with the living standard continue to step up, the apply scope of innovated technology will be expanded, and for the boost of more targeted promotion, nylon production demand will be further increased, which is the second conclusion that the journalist come to.
After discussions with market sources recently, the journalist has realized that, the future textile industry, especially the chemical fiber industry development mode, we should pay attention to two aspects of innovation: technology innovation and brand innovation. Previously, we have already made a remarkable achievement on technology, with various new fiber invented, and the application scope is being expanded, but on the aspect of brand innovation, there is little effort that enterprises have put, and it seems that market sources have not pay enough attention to this point. During the 12th five-year plan, we have to make some change on the situation.
China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, secretary general of the nylon committee, Deng Jun said on the conference, “In the future, we should shift attention to points that can create more value”, which he indicated that previously, related enterprises have paid too much attention on CPL anti-dumping, but the established fact is still unchanged, instead, enterprises have ignored the meaningful side. He analyzed, the new contradiction that exist in the industry, including the contradiction between the tight monetary policy and the insistent consumption demand; the contradiction between comprehensive cost rise and the cost-effective consumption pattern; the contradiction of slow cycle and fast fashion in the operation of the industry chain. And solving these contradictions still depends on technical innovation and brand innovation.
Deng Jun suggested that, in technology innovation, we can combine the major production enterprises with engineering companies, colleges, universities and scientific research institutions to establish an industrial technology innovation coalition. And as for brand innovation, we can combine fiber suppliers, garments manufacturers, nylon related industrial cluster, garment designer, professional media, and sales terminals to establish nylon fashion alliance. By hosting design competition, exhibition, news conference, fiber tag management and etc to improve the recognition of nylon and also make some brand effect. Currently, the preparatory work of nylon fashion alliance is being orderly carried out.
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Editor: Candy From: 168Tex.com
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